Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.678972 0.770055 0.867322 0.978754 1.102710 1.236185 1.390610
2025-08-03 0.550932 0.679934 0.827974 1.009693 1.225960 1.474286 1.780140
2025-08-10 0.448406 0.598691 0.782978 1.023798 1.328192 1.697972 2.178745
2025-08-17 0.369869 0.531591 0.742486 1.034298 1.423693 1.920996 2.598974
2025-08-24 0.309899 0.477247 0.708311 1.045228 1.517384 2.147903 3.044228
2025-08-31 0.258206 0.424773 0.667550 1.039328 1.584450 2.342681 3.462114
2025-09-07 0.223871 0.391432 0.648070 1.058892 1.686142 2.590654 3.971114
2025-09-14 0.189319 0.351526 0.612310 1.048066 1.739665 2.771667 4.396635
2025-09-21 0.165634 0.325234 0.593572 1.059864 1.826311 3.005597 4.914752
2025-09-28 0.141144 0.293198 0.560543 1.043470 1.864983 3.167224 5.332698
2025-10-05 0.129964 0.283451 0.563882 1.087437 2.004236 3.494234 6.027808
2025-10-12 0.120284 0.274873 0.567836 1.132085 2.147321 3.836057 6.767449
2025-10-19 0.107768 0.258901 0.556676 1.149353 2.246479 4.116056 7.431443
2025-10-26 0.095214 0.240686 0.538800 1.152013 2.319684 4.357524 8.047940
2025-11-02 0.083685 0.222619 0.518701 1.147854 2.379496 4.579478 8.645293
2025-11-09 0.074051 0.207084 0.501583 1.147285 2.445242 4.815431 9.280806
2025-11-16 0.066093 0.194041 0.487889 1.151806 2.520438 5.072447 9.968168
2025-11-23 0.058033 0.179153 0.468000 1.140856 2.563674 5.272952 10.565227
2025-11-30 0.052940 0.171004 0.462230 1.159307 2.666854 5.590857 11.393647
2025-12-07 0.046530 0.157952 0.443080 1.145882 2.702937 5.782972 11.999095
2025-12-14 0.042272 0.150135 0.435485 1.157608 2.792288 6.082838 12.823300
2025-12-21 0.037026 0.138247 0.415968 1.139249 2.815169 6.252798 13.407786
2025-12-28 0.035309 0.136944 0.423591 1.186372 2.984831 6.725725 14.604403